I'm backing Over 1.5 goals and Luxembourg Over 3.5 corners in a bet builder at 2.4.

Goals first. Luxembourg have been in lively games in this Nations League. Both of their matches went over 2.5, a 2-1 win in Bulgaria and a 3-0 home defeat to Iceland, and they haven't kept a clean sheet in either. Whatever they create at one end, they tend to give something back at the other. Estonia's two draws, 0-0 in Bulgaria and 1-1 in Iceland, are the counterweight, but both came on the road. At home they should have to show a bit more.

The corners leg fits the same picture. Estonia have conceded 6.5 corners per match in the competition. In Luxembourg's only away game so far they had 15 shots and won 4 corners. A visiting side that gets bodies forward and pins the hosts back is exactly the profile that brings goals too.

The danger is a repeat of that goalless draw in Bulgaria, with Luxembourg happy to sit on a point. I don't expect it from a side that has shipped four in two games, and 2.4 pays fairly for two legs pulling the same way.