Víkingur Reykjavík carry a 2–1 advantage into the second leg after producing 13 shots and six attempts on target in the opening meeting. They have now scored five goals across their first three Champions League qualifiers, including two goals away to Győri ETO in the previous round.

Hapoel Be’er Sheva must chase the game to overturn the deficit, which should create counter-attacking opportunities and space for Víkingur. The Israeli side have also shown major defensive vulnerability, conceding at least twice in each of their last eight matches.

Víkingur over 0.5 goals therefore looks well supported by both their recent European output and the expected match situation. The Icelandic side should also spend enough time attacking in transition to win at least three corners, especially if Hapoel commit more players forward as the game progresses.