Celje are the strongest side on the pitch by a comfortable margin and they play the kind of aggressive, high-tempo football that produces goals in bunches at home. Egnatia will likely try to stay compact early, but holding a low block for 90 minutes against this level of pressure rarely works — and once the first goal goes in, Celje have the attacking depth to keep adding.

Three or more from the hosts is well within reach, and at 1.90 you're getting close to even money on a scenario that a clear favourite at home should deliver more often than not.